Emaar Founder Mohamed Alabbar Sees Approximately 5% to 10% Dubai Property Price Adjustment by 2027

Dubai property prices could adjust by approximately 5% to 10% as significant new supply enters the market by 2027, Mohamed Alabbar, founder of Emaar Properties, said during AIM Congress 2026 in Dubai. His assessment places supply delivery at the centre of the emirate's next property-cycle phase, with additional inventory potentially moving market conditions towards a more balanced position.

Executive Summary

Alabbar's forecast signals that Dubai's strong pricing environment could moderate as new homes and other property inventory enter the market. For investors and developers, the central issue is not a single price target but the possibility of more selective pricing, product positioning and timing through 2027.

Confirmed Development Facts

• Mohamed Alabbar, founder of Emaar Properties, said Dubai property prices could adjust by approximately 5% to 10%.
• He linked the potential adjustment to significant new supply entering Dubai's property market by 2027.
• Alabbar said the additional supply could bring the market to a more balanced position in 2027.
• The remarks were reported as having been made during AIM Congress 2026 in Dubai.

Market Significance

The forecast is notable because it identifies supply as a potential moderating force after a period in which Dubai's property market has drawn substantial attention from developers, investors and international buyers. A more balanced market would not necessarily mean uniform weakness across the emirate. Performance could instead diverge by location, property quality, delivery profile and the reputation of the developer behind each project.

Across the wider GCC investment landscape, the remarks also underscore the importance of tracking inventory cycles alongside headline price momentum. As new stock becomes available, competition could become more visible through launch pricing, payment structures, amenities and operating propositions. Established developers with strong delivery records may be better positioned to defend value, while less differentiated projects could face greater pressure to demonstrate clear buyer appeal.

Investor Perspective

AlSafaqa readers assessing Dubai exposure should view the projected adjustment as a timing and underwriting consideration rather than a guaranteed market outcome. A potential movement of approximately 5% to 10% could affect entry assumptions, projected capital appreciation and the margin between acquisition cost and eventual exit value.

The supply outlook may also increase the importance of project-level diligence. Relevant considerations include expected delivery timing, competing inventory, location resilience and the intended tenant or buyer segment. For buyers who are not under immediate time pressure, a more balanced market could bring greater choice and negotiating scope. For developers, it could increase the premium on disciplined phasing and differentiated product.